Russian Offensive Campaign: Analyzing the February 4th, 2026 Update (2026)

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 4, 2026

[1] https://t.me/umerovrustem/340; https://suspilne.media/1231134-ukrainska-delegacia-pribula-na-peregovori-v-abu-dabi/; https://t.me/umerovrustem/341

[2] https://www.c-span.org/program/white-house-event/wh-press-secretary-leavitt-speaks-to-reporters/672818; https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/russia-ukraine-envoys-meet-abu-dhabi-us-brokered-129851349; https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/04/ukraine-russia-second-round-peace-talks-abu-dhabi;

[3] https://t.me/umerov_rustem/341

[4] https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/02/secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-at-a-press-availability/; https://unn.ua/en/news/the-most-difficult-questions-are-always-left-for-last-rubio-on-negotiations-to-end-the-war-in-ukraine; https://suspilne.media/1231688-rubio-pro-peregovori-v-abu-dabi-perelik-spirnih-pitan-miz-ukrainou-ta-rf-suttevo-skorotivsa/

[5] https://mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/2076792/; https://www.rbc.ua/rus/news/litaki-v-povitri-ta-pidtrimka-na-mori-ryutte-1770114838.html

[6] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-27-2026/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-20-2026/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-26-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-17-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-22-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-25-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-15-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-23-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-22-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-20-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-25-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-24-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-21-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-23-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-18-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-1-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-20-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-29-2024

[7] https://tass.ru/politika/26343187; https://t.me/tass_agency/359829

[8] https://t.me/tass_agency/359792; https://tass.ru/politika/26339647

[9] https://t.me/Grigory_Karasin/2307; https://lenta.ru/news/2026/02/04/v-rossii-otvetili-na-soobscheniya-o-smene-tona-na-peregovorah-s-ukrainoy/; https://ria.ru/20260204/gosduma-2072089397.html; https://ria.ru/20260204/gosduma-2072066611.html?ysclid=ml7ly5wt43101809372; https://news.ru/vlast/v-gosdume-rezko-otreagirovali-na-vozmozhnyj-vvod-vojsk-nato-na-ukrainu

[10] https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/greek-joint-venture-will-supply-us-lng-ukraine-march-2026-02-02/

[11] https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/greek-joint-venture-will-supply-us-lng-ukraine-march-2026-02-02/

[12] https://x.com/usembassykyiv/status/2018755190166331662?s=46

[13] https://armyinform.com.ua/2026/02/04/stijkist-pihoty-rol-robotiv-i-sytuacziya-v-kostyantynivczi-intervyu-z-28-richnym-kombrygom-28-yi-brygady-anatoliyem-kulykivskym/

[14] https://armyinform.com.ua/2026/01/08/u-razy-zbilshylasya-dystancziya-kudy-drony-mozhut-distaty-na-kramatorskomu-napryamku-vorog-zalitaye-vse-dali/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-8-2026/

[15] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-25-2025/

[16] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-partial-battlefield-air-interdiction-enabled-recent-russian-advances-in-pokrovsk/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-12-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-20-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-15-2025/

[17] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-partial-battlefield-air-interdiction-enabled-recent-russian-advances-in-pokrovsk/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-12-2025/

[18] https://militarnyi.com/en/news/focus-on-drones-and-ground-forces-former-deputy-head-of-the-diu-explains-how-russians-are-modernizing-their-troops/; https://militarnyi.com/uk/news/aktsent-na-drony-ta-suhoputni-vijska/

[19] https://militarnyi.com/en/news/focus-on-drones-and-ground-forces-former-deputy-head-of-the-diu-explains-how-russians-are-modernizing-their-troops/; https://militarnyi.com/uk/news/aktsent-na-drony-ta-suhoputni-vijska/

[20] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-force-generation-and-technological-adaptations-update-may-14-2025/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-efforts-to-centralize-drone-units-may-degrade-russian-drone-operations-2/

[21] https://suspilne.media/1231712-zelenskij-priznaciv-vikonuucogo-obovazki-szr-ukraini/; https://president.gov.ua/documents/1002026-58245

[22] https://t.me/BULAVA72b/347; https://x.com/blinzka/status/2018850069995573650; https://x.com/PuenteUribarri/status/2018729154846368172

[23] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34603; https://t.me/JointForcesTaskForce/20004; https://t.me/uvkkursk/217; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34605; https://t.me/dvamajors/87548; https://t.me/wargonzo/32091; https://t.me/severnnyi/6621

[24] https://t.me/rybar/77212

[25] https://t.me/rybar/77212; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-14-2026/; https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-15-2026/

[26] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/39334; https://t.me/dva_majors/87581

[27] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34630; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34605; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34603; https://t.me/JointForcesTaskForce/20004; https://t.me/dvamajors/87548; https://t.me/wargonzo/32091

[28] https://t.me/wargonzo/32091

[29] https://t.me/dva_majors/87583

[30] https://t.me/dva_majors/87548

[31] https://t.me/rybar/77224; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34603; https://t.me/JointForcesTask_Force/20004

[32] https://t.me/rybar/77227

[33] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34605; https://t.me/dvamajors/87548; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34603; https://t.me/JointForcesTaskForce/20004; https://t.me/severnnyi/6621; https://t.me/wargonzo/32091; https://t.me/wargonzo/32091; https://t.me/Sladkovplus/15042; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/70379; https://t.me/borisrozhin/196770

[34] https://t.me/rybar/77227

[35] https://t.me/JointForcesTask_Force/20007

[36] https://t.me/dva_majors/87591

[37] https://t.me/rybar/77224

[38] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/39354

[39] https://www.facebook.com/pashtetof/posts/pfbid0d1bCuXsNWGgX8nxWbQPeXKK9B3DyuP1UCSpT5erWg3qDqo57WCMDqAt5XHrk2gDjl

[40] https://www.facebook.com/pashtetof/posts/pfbid0d1bCuXsNWGgX8nxWbQPeXKK9B3DyuP1UCSpT5erWg3qDqo57WCMDqAt5XHrk2gDjl

[41] https://www.facebook.com/pashtetof/posts/pfbid0d1bCuXsNWGgX8nxWbQPeXKK9B3DyuP1UCSpT5erWg3qDqo57WCMDqAt5XHrk2gDjl

[42] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/39354

[43] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34630; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34605; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/34603; https://t.me/JointForcesTaskForce/20004; https://t.me/rybar/77221; https://t.me/dvamajors/87548; https://t.me/wargonzo/32091; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/39354; https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/3225

[44] https://t.me/rybar/77221; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/39354

[45] https://t.me/JointForcesTask_Force/20007

[46] https://armyinform.com.ua/2026/02/04/tam-radyanska-shkola-politrukiv-poblyzu-lymana-vorozhi-pihotynczi-vkorochuyut-sobi-zhyttya/; https://youtu.be/YqSxhFLfGjI?t=2020

[47] https://armyinform.com.ua/2026/02/04/tam-radyanska-shkola-politrukiv-poblyzu-lymana-vorozhi-pihotynczi-vkorochuyut-sobi-zhyttya/; https://youtu.be/YqSxhFLfGjI?t=2020

[48] https://youtu.be/YqSxhFLfGjI?t=3074; https://armyinform.com.ua/2026/02/04/mayut-yakus-pid